Four and Out is an independent NFL analysis hub. This page explains who is behind the site, how we research and write, where our data comes from, and how we use automation, so you can judge our work for yourself.
Who is behind the analysis
The site is edited by a named, accountable person rather than published anonymously. Every preview, prediction and explainer is reviewed before it goes live.
- Zach Nichols, Founder & Editor, Four and Out. Zach Nichols is the founder and editor of Four and Out, where he covers the NFL. He builds the site's power-rating model and reviews its previews and predictions, pairing team-by-team analysis with prediction-market prices.
Where our data comes from
- Super Bowl & game odds: live prices from the prediction market Kalshi, with a transparent model estimate shown as a fallback when a live market is unavailable. We label which one you are seeing.
- Power ratings & win probability: our own model, built from team strength and recalibrated through the season.
- Rosters & matchups: publicly available team information and the season schedule at the time of writing.
How we use AI
We use AI tools to help research, draft and structure parts of our coverage, for example first drafts of team and matchup previews and player profiles, which let us cover all 32 teams and every matchup in depth. We are transparent about this because we think you deserve to know.
What that means in practice:
- AI assists with drafting and structure; it does not publish on its own. A person reviews analysis for accuracy and edits before it is published.
- Odds, ratings, dates and results come from the data sources above, not invented by a language model.
- We aim to add a genuine point of view, not recycle commodity facts. If a page does not add something useful beyond what you could already find, it does not belong here.
Corrections
We get things wrong sometimes. If you spot an error, email zach@vaultsportshq.com and we will fix it and note material corrections.
Independence & affiliate disclosure
Four and Out is not affiliated with the NFL. We earn affiliate commissions from prediction-market links (e.g. Kalshi). This never changes our analysis or the odds we report. Markets are for adults 18+, please trade responsibly. See our Terms for full disclosures.