Futures Desk · Kalshi

NFL player futures on Kalshi

The value case behind the season-long award markets. We turn live Kalshi prices into implied odds and find the contenders the market is underrating, refreshed daily through kickoff.

Kalshi market

NFL MVP

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Lamar Jackson9.3%

Lamar Jackson sits at 9.3% implied on Kalshi to win NFL MVP, tied for the market lead. Here is why that price is too low and where the field is wrong.

Updated Jul 9, 2026
Josh Allen9.3%

Josh Allen is priced at 9.3% for NFL MVP on Kalshi, tied atop the field with Lamar Jackson. Here is why the reigning MVP is quietly undervalued.

Updated Jul 11, 2026
Joe Burrow8.4%

Joe Burrow's NFL MVP odds sit at 8.4% implied on Kalshi, third in the field. Here's why the market is underpricing the league's highest-volume passer.

Updated Jul 14, 2026
Justin Herbert8%

Justin Herbert is priced at 8% for NFL MVP on Kalshi, fourth in the field. Here's the efficiency-and-rushing case the market is quietly underrating.

Updated Jul 16, 2026
Caleb Williams5.8%

Caleb Williams is priced at 5.8% for NFL MVP on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating the highest-ceiling name in its 5.8% cluster.

Updated Jul 26, 2026
Matthew Stafford5.8%

Matthew Stafford is 5.8% implied to win NFL MVP on Kalshi. Here is why the Rams QB is underpriced against the field, and the market angle nobody is trading.

Updated Jul 21, 2026
Patrick Mahomes5.7%

Patrick Mahomes is priced at 5.7% to win NFL MVP on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating the two-time winner against Jackson, Allen, Herbert and Burrow.

Updated Jul 19, 2026
Drake Maye5.7%

Drake Maye is priced at 5.7% for NFL MVP on Kalshi, tied with Mahomes and behind Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen. Here is why that number is too low.

Updated Jul 24, 2026
Dak Prescott4.8%

Dak Prescott is priced at 4.8% to win NFL MVP on Kalshi. Why the market is anchoring on his 2024 injury and underrating a volume passer with a real ceiling.

Updated Jun 29, 2026
Brock Purdy4%

Brock Purdy is priced at 4% to win NFL MVP on Kalshi. Here is the market-vs-narrative case for why that number underrates the 49ers quarterback.

Updated Jul 1, 2026
Jayden Daniels3.1%

Jayden Daniels sits at 3.1% for NFL MVP on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating Washington's dual-threat quarterback and where the real value lives.

Updated Jul 6, 2026
Trevor Lawrence3.1%

Trevor Lawrence is priced at 3.1% to win NFL MVP on Kalshi. Here is why year two under Liam Coen makes that number too low, and where the real risk sits.

Updated Jul 4, 2026

Kalshi market

NFL passing yards leader

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Jared Goff9.4%

Jared Goff sits second at 9.4% on Kalshi to win the NFL passing yards crown. Here is why Detroit's volume machine is undervalued behind Joe Burrow.

Updated Jul 12, 2026
Joe Burrow7.9%

Joe Burrow sits at 7.9% on Kalshi to win the NFL passing yards crown. Here is why the market is underrating the league's most recent yardage leader.

Updated Jul 19, 2026
Dak Prescott7.6%

Dak Prescott sits at 7.6% for the NFL passing yards crown on Kalshi. Why the Cowboys' volume, target concentration, and shootout scripts make him underpriced.

Updated Jul 17, 2026
Jordan Love5.3%

Jordan Love is priced at 5.3% to win the NFL passing yards crown on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating Green Bay's volume-and-explosive ceiling.

Updated Jul 27, 2026
Trevor Lawrence5.2%

Trevor Lawrence is priced at 5.2% to win the NFL passing yards crown on Kalshi. Here is why Liam Coen's high-volume offense makes that number too cheap.

Updated Jul 22, 2026
Cam Ward5%

Cam Ward sits at 5% on Kalshi to win the NFL passing yards crown. Why the market underrates the Titans QB's clear path to league-leading volume.

Updated Jul 7, 2026
Matthew Stafford4.7%

Matthew Stafford is priced at just 4.7% on Kalshi to win the NFL regular-season passing yards crown. Here is why that number is too low for the field he faces.

Updated Jul 24, 2026
Drake Maye4.7%

Drake Maye's NFL passing yards crown odds are 4.7% on Kalshi. Here's why the market may underrate the Patriots QB's 2026 volume ceiling in a flat field.

Updated Jul 2, 2026
Daniel Jones4.6%

Daniel Jones is 4.6% on Kalshi to win the NFL passing yards crown. Why the market's flat field undervalues his volume profile in Indianapolis.

Updated Jun 27, 2026
Aaron Rodgers4.6%

Aaron Rodgers is priced at 4.6% on Kalshi to win the NFL regular-season passing yards crown. We read the value in a wide-open field and find an edge.

Updated Jun 24, 2026
Geno Smith4.5%

Geno Smith sits at 4.5% on Kalshi to win the NFL passing yards crown. Here's the volume case for why the Raiders QB is undervalued versus the field.

Updated Jun 22, 2026
Tyler Shough4%

Tyler Shough sits at 4% on Kalshi to win the NFL regular-season passing yards crown. Here is why a wide-open, flat market is underrating the Saints rookie's volume.

Updated Jul 4, 2026

Kalshi market

NFL rushing yards leader

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Derrick Henry12.4%

Derrick Henry is the field-leading pick for the NFL rushing yards title at 12.4% on Kalshi. Here is why that price is closer to fair than cheap, and where the value sits.

Updated Jul 10, 2026
Bijan Robinson11.1%

Bijan Robinson sits at 11.1% on Kalshi to win the 2026 NFL rushing yards title. Here is why the market is underpricing the Falcons back and where the value lives.

Updated Jul 15, 2026
Saquon Barkley9.4%

Saquon Barkley is priced at 9.4% to win the NFL rushing title on Kalshi. Here is why the defending yards leader is undervalued as the field's fourth choice.

Updated Jul 17, 2026
James Cook III7.3%

James Cook III is priced at 7.3% on Kalshi to win the NFL rushing yards title. Here is why Buffalo's volume shift makes the market's number too cautious.

Updated Jul 20, 2026
Jonathan Taylor6.9%

Jonathan Taylor is priced at 6.9% to win the NFL rushing yards title on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating the league's purest bell-cow.

Updated Jul 22, 2026
Jahmyr Gibbs5.2%

Jahmyr Gibbs is priced at 5.2% to win the NFL rushing yards title on Kalshi. Here is why the committee tax has the market underrating Detroit's home-run back.

Updated Jun 22, 2026
Omarion Hampton4.8%

Omarion Hampton is priced at 4.8% to win the NFL rushing title on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating a Harbaugh-Roman workhorse in year two.

Updated Jul 27, 2026
Kenneth Walker III3.2%

Kenneth Walker III sits at just 3.2% for the NFL rushing yards title on Kalshi. Here is why Klint Kubiak's zone scheme makes that a mispriced long shot.

Updated Jul 2, 2026
RJ Harvey3.2%

RJ Harvey sits at 3.2% to win the NFL regular-season rushing title on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underpricing Denver's lead back relative to the field.

Updated Jun 30, 2026
De'Von Achane3%

De'Von Achane is priced at just 3% on Kalshi to win the NFL rushing yards title. Here is the usage-driven case that Miami's back is underpriced.

Updated Jul 7, 2026
Javonte Williams2.9%

Javonte Williams is priced at 2.9% on Kalshi to win the NFL rushing yards title. Here is why the Cowboys' new bellcow is the field's most underpriced volume play.

Updated Jul 5, 2026

Kalshi market

NFL receiving yards leader

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Ja'Marr Chase12.7%

Ja'Marr Chase is priced at 12.7% on Kalshi to win the NFL receiving yards title. Why the market's second-place tag undersells the league's best volume bet.

Updated Jul 13, 2026
Puka Nacua11.3%

Puka Nacua leads the NFL receiving yards title field on Kalshi at 11.3% implied. Here is why the market is still underpricing the Rams' volume monster.

Updated Jul 10, 2026
Mike Evans5.6%

Mike Evans is priced at 5.6% on Kalshi to win the NFL receiving yards title. Our market-vs-narrative read on why the volume case is underrated.

Updated Jul 15, 2026
Tetairoa McMillan5.3%

Tetairoa McMillan is priced at 5.3% on Kalshi to win the NFL receiving yards title. Here is why the market is underrating Carolina's alpha in year two.

Updated Jul 20, 2026
A.J. Brown4.7%

A.J. Brown is priced at just 4.7% to win the NFL receiving yards title on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating the Eagles' alpha target.

Updated Jul 28, 2026
Justin Jefferson4.7%

Justin Jefferson is priced at just 4.7% on Kalshi to win the NFL receiving yards title. Here is why the market is underrating the best route-runner alive.

Updated Jul 18, 2026
CeeDee Lamb4.6%

CeeDee Lamb sits at 4.6% on Kalshi to win the 2026 NFL receiving yards title. Here is why the market is pricing a proven yardage champion like an afterthought.

Updated Jul 25, 2026
Marvin Harrison Jr.4.3%

Marvin Harrison Jr. is priced at 4.3% to win the NFL receiving yards title on Kalshi. Here is why that number is light in a wide-open field.

Updated Jun 30, 2026
Amon-Ra St. Brown4.1%

Amon-Ra St. Brown sits at 4.1% for the NFL receiving yards title on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating Detroit's most bankable target.

Updated Jul 23, 2026
Garrett Wilson3.5%

Garrett Wilson sits at 3.5% on Kalshi to win the NFL receiving yards title. Here is why the Jets' alpha target is underpriced against a scattered field.

Updated Jul 8, 2026
Zay Flowers3.5%

Zay Flowers is priced at just 3.5% on Kalshi to win the NFL receiving yards title. Here is why Baltimore's target math makes that a market underreaction.

Updated Jul 3, 2026
Tee Higgins3.5%

Tee Higgins is priced at 3.5% to win the NFL receiving yards title on Kalshi. Here is why that number underrates a healthy 17-game Higgins.

Updated Jul 5, 2026

Kalshi market

NFL sacks leader

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Myles Garrett15.4%

Myles Garrett is the Kalshi favorite to lead the NFL in sacks at 15.4% implied. Here's why the market still has the Browns star slightly too cheap.

Updated Jun 11, 2026
Will Anderson Jr.14.8%

Will Anderson Jr. is 14.8% implied on Kalshi to win the NFL regular-season sacks title. Why the market has the wrong man as favorite, and where the value sits.

Updated Jun 13, 2026
Jonathan Greenard11.6%

Jonathan Greenard is priced at 11.6% to win the NFL sacks title on Kalshi. Here is why Brian Flores's scheme makes the market's second favorite a live value.

Updated Jul 13, 2026
Aidan Hutchinson8.8%

Aidan Hutchinson is priced at 8.8% for the NFL regular-season sacks title on Kalshi. Here is why the market is underrating Detroit's healthy edge.

Updated Jul 16, 2026
Maxx Crosby7.5%

Maxx Crosby is priced at 7.5% on Kalshi to win the NFL regular-season sacks title. Here is the market-vs-narrative case for why that number is too low.

Updated Jul 18, 2026
Trey Hendrickson5.7%

Trey Hendrickson sits at 5.7% on Kalshi to win the NFL regular-season sacks title, sixth in the field. Here is why the market underrates a proven sack champion.

Updated Jul 23, 2026
T.J. Watt5.3%

T.J. Watt sits at 5.3% on Kalshi to win the NFL sacks title, seventh on the board. Why a three-time sack leader is underpriced behind the favorites.

Updated Jul 26, 2026
Nick Bosa4.2%

Nick Bosa is priced at just 4.2% to win the NFL regular-season sacks title on Kalshi. Here is why Robert Saleh's scheme makes that number too low.

Updated Jul 28, 2026
Micah Parsons3.2%

Micah Parsons is priced at just 3.2% to win the NFL sacks title on Kalshi. Here is why that number is too low for a rusher moved into a defense built to feed him.

Updated Jul 6, 2026
Will McDonald IV3%

Will McDonald IV is priced at just 3% on Kalshi to win the NFL regular-season sacks title. Here is why the market is charging too little for the Jets' rising edge.

Updated Jul 3, 2026

Frequently asked

What are NFL futures on Kalshi?

NFL futures on Kalshi are season-long prediction markets where each contract pays out if a player wins an award or statistical title, such as MVP or the passing yards crown. The contract price is the market's implied probability of that outcome.

How do you read Kalshi implied odds?

A contract trading at 12 cents implies roughly a 12% chance of the outcome. We normalise each award's field so the contenders' probabilities sum to about 100%, which strips the market's built-in margin and makes players comparable.

How often are these futures articles updated?

The Four and Out Futures Desk publishes new player breakdowns daily through the start of the NFL season and refreshes existing ones as the Kalshi market moves, so the implied odds you read are current.