Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.2%1.4%
Power rating8186
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers is a cross-division NFC test that could swing the conference picture. Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favored at 62% (TB -1.5), yet Chicago Bears's 38% says this is no walkover.

Tactically, Chicago Bears will want to lean on bright play-caller to attack Tampa Bay Buccaneers, whose aging core is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Tampa Bay Buccaneers's steady QB play could punish Chicago Bears if line continuity goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Caleb Williams (QB) and Baker Mayfield (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Bears, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

CHI Bears

CWCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams
QB · No. 1 pick
DMD.J. Moore
D.J. Moore
WR · Reliable
MSMontez Sweat
Montez Sweat
EDGE · Pro Bowl

TB Buccaneers

BMBaker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield
QB · Pro Bowl
MEMike Evans
Mike Evans
WR · 1,000-yd streak
LDLavonte David
Lavonte David
LB · Veteran

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Our model favors the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a 62% win probability over the Chicago Bears (38%). The projected spread is TB -1.5.

What is the prediction for Bears vs Buccaneers?

Our model favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers (62%) over Chicago Bears (38%), spread TB -1.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Chicago Bears are +163 and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are -163 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Bears vs Buccaneers?

Watch Caleb Williams (QB) for the Bears and Baker Mayfield (QB) for the Buccaneers.

Is Bears vs Buccaneers a divisional game?

No. It is an NFC inter-divisional game (NFC North vs NFC South), not a division rivalry.