Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.2%1.4%
Power rating8177
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Bears hosting the AFC Colts. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Chicago Bears at 70% to Indianapolis Colts's 30%, spread CHI -2.5. The two sit close in the power rankings (#21 vs #25), so the lean toward Chicago Bears is more about matchup and form than reputation.

Tactically, Chicago Bears will want to lean on high-ceiling QB to attack Indianapolis Colts, whose pass rush is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Indianapolis Colts's balanced attack could punish Chicago Bears if young QB reps goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Caleb Williams (QB) and Michael Pittman Jr. (WR): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Bears at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

CHI Bears

CWCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams
QB · No. 1 pick
DMD.J. Moore
D.J. Moore
WR · Reliable
MSMontez Sweat
Montez Sweat
EDGE · Pro Bowl

IND Colts

JTJonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor
RB · All-Pro
MPMichael Pittman Jr.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR · Possession
DBDeForest Buckner
DeForest Buckner
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts?

Our model favors the Chicago Bears, with a 70% win probability over the Indianapolis Colts (30%). The projected spread is CHI -2.5.

What is the prediction for Bears vs Colts?

Our model favors Chicago Bears (70%) over Indianapolis Colts (30%), spread CHI -2.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Chicago Bears are -233 and the Indianapolis Colts are +233 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Bears vs Colts?

Watch Caleb Williams (QB) for the Bears and Jonathan Taylor (RB) for the Colts.

Is Bears vs Colts a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Bears and the AFC Colts.