Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.1%4%
Power rating8191
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions is a NFC North rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Detroit Lions at 77% to Chicago Bears's 23%, spread DET -4. The power-ranking gap backs it up (#21 vs #5), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, Chicago Bears will want to lean on high-ceiling QB to attack Detroit Lions, whose pass rush health is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Detroit Lions's aggressive identity could punish Chicago Bears if depth goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Caleb Williams (QB) and Jared Goff (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Bears get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

CHI Bears

CWCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams
QB · No. 1 pick
DMD.J. Moore
D.J. Moore
WR · Reliable
MSMontez Sweat
Montez Sweat
EDGE · Pro Bowl

DET Lions

JGJared Goff
Jared Goff
QB · Pro Bowl
ASAmon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR · All-Pro
PSPenei Sewell
Penei Sewell
OT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions?

Our model favors the Detroit Lions, with a 77% win probability over the Chicago Bears (23%). The projected spread is DET -4.

What is the prediction for Bears vs Lions?

Our model favors Detroit Lions (77%) over Chicago Bears (23%), spread DET -4: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Chicago Bears are +335 and the Detroit Lions are -335 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Bears vs Lions?

Watch Caleb Williams (QB) for the Bears and Jared Goff (QB) for the Lions.

Is Bears vs Lions a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Bears and Lions play in the NFC North, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.