Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.1%3.1%
Power rating8189
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers is a NFC North rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Green Bay Packers at 71% to Chicago Bears's 29%, spread GB -3. The power-ranking gap backs it up (#21 vs #8), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, Chicago Bears will want to lean on high-ceiling QB to attack Green Bay Packers, whose wR consistency is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Green Bay Packers's balanced attack could punish Chicago Bears if line continuity goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Caleb Williams (QB) and Jordan Love (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Bears get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

CHI Bears

CWCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams
QB · No. 1 pick
DMD.J. Moore
D.J. Moore
WR · Reliable
MSMontez Sweat
Montez Sweat
EDGE · Pro Bowl

GB Packers

JLJordan Love
Jordan Love
QB · Gunslinger
JJJosh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs
RB · Pro Bowl
XMXavier McKinney
Xavier McKinney
S · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Our model favors the Green Bay Packers, with a 71% win probability over the Chicago Bears (29%). The projected spread is GB -3.

What is the prediction for Bears vs Packers?

Our model favors Green Bay Packers (71%) over Chicago Bears (29%), spread GB -3: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Chicago Bears are +245 and the Green Bay Packers are -245 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Bears vs Packers?

Watch Caleb Williams (QB) for the Bears and Jordan Love (QB) for the Packers.

Is Bears vs Packers a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Bears and Packers play in the NFC North, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.