Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers

Head to head

Super Bowl odds5.9%3.2%
Power rating9389
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers is an inter-conference matchup: the AFC Bills hosting the NFC Packers. Our model makes Buffalo Bills a heavy favorite (73% to win, spread BUF -3).

Tactically, Buffalo Bills will want to lean on aggressive front to attack Green Bay Packers, whose edge depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Green Bay Packers's ballhawk safety could punish Buffalo Bills if january ceiling goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Josh Allen (QB) and Jordan Love (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Bills, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

BUF Bills

JAJosh Allen
Josh Allen
QB · MVP
JCJames Cook
James Cook
RB · Pro Bowl
KSKhalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir
WR · Slot

GB Packers

JLJordan Love
Jordan Love
QB · Gunslinger
JJJosh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs
RB · Pro Bowl
XMXavier McKinney
Xavier McKinney
S · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers?

Our model favors the Buffalo Bills, with a 73% win probability over the Green Bay Packers (27%). The projected spread is BUF -3.

What is the prediction for Bills vs Packers?

Our model favors Buffalo Bills (73%) over Green Bay Packers (27%), spread BUF -3: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Buffalo Bills are -270 and the Green Bay Packers are +270 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Bills vs Packers?

Watch Josh Allen (QB) for the Bills and Jordan Love (QB) for the Packers.

Is Bills vs Packers a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the AFC Bills and the NFC Packers.