Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons

Head to head

Super Bowl odds4.1%1.4%
Power rating8579
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons is an inter-conference matchup: the AFC Broncos hosting the NFC Falcons. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Denver Broncos at 78% to Atlanta Falcons's 22%, spread DEN -4.

Tactically, Denver Broncos will want to lean on smart play-caller to attack Atlanta Falcons, whose pass rush is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Atlanta Falcons's big-play WR could punish Denver Broncos if skill talent goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Bo Nix (QB) and Michael Penix Jr. (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Broncos at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

DEN Broncos

BNBo Nix
Bo Nix
QB · Rising
CSCourtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton
WR · Contested-catch king
PSPatrick Surtain II
Patrick Surtain II
CB · DPOY

ATL Falcons

BRBijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson
RB · All-Pro
DLDrake London
Drake London
WR · Ascending
MPMichael Penix Jr.
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · Big arm

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons?

Our model favors the Denver Broncos, with a 78% win probability over the Atlanta Falcons (22%). The projected spread is DEN -4.

What is the prediction for Broncos vs Falcons?

Our model favors Denver Broncos (78%) over Atlanta Falcons (22%), spread DEN -4: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Denver Broncos are -355 and the Atlanta Falcons are +355 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Broncos vs Falcons?

Watch Bo Nix (QB) for the Broncos and Bijan Robinson (RB) for the Falcons.

Is Broncos vs Falcons a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the AFC Broncos and the NFC Falcons.