Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Head to head

Super Bowl odds4.1%1.4%
Power rating8582
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model leans Denver Broncos's way (69% to 31%, DEN -2.5), but Pittsburgh Steelers are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Denver Broncos will want to lean on stingy defense to attack Pittsburgh Steelers, whose offensive line is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Pittsburgh Steelers's physical defense could punish Denver Broncos if run game goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Bo Nix (QB) and DK Metcalf (WR): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Broncos at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

DEN Broncos

BNBo Nix
Bo Nix
QB · Rising
CSCourtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton
WR · Contested-catch king
PSPatrick Surtain II
Patrick Surtain II
CB · DPOY

PIT Steelers

TWT.J. Watt
T.J. Watt
EDGE · DPOY
DMDK Metcalf
DK Metcalf
WR · Deep threat
CHCam Heyward
Cam Heyward
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Our model favors the Denver Broncos, with a 69% win probability over the Pittsburgh Steelers (31%). The projected spread is DEN -2.5.

What is the prediction for Broncos vs Steelers?

Our model favors Denver Broncos (69%) over Pittsburgh Steelers (31%), spread DEN -2.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Denver Broncos are -223 and the Pittsburgh Steelers are +223 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Broncos vs Steelers?

Watch Bo Nix (QB) for the Broncos and T.J. Watt (EDGE) for the Steelers.

Is Broncos vs Steelers a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC West vs AFC North), not a division rivalry.