Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos

Head to head

Super Bowl odds0.9%4.1%
Power rating7385
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model makes Denver Broncos a heavy favorite (82% to win, spread DEN -5). The power-ranking gap backs it up (#32 vs #14), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, Cleveland Browns will want to lean on best defender alive to attack Denver Broncos, whose skill talent is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Denver Broncos's shutdown corner could punish Cleveland Browns if offensive line goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Kevin Stefanski and Sean Payton, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Jerry Jeudy (WR) and Bo Nix (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Browns get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

CLE Browns

MGMyles Garrett
Myles Garrett
EDGE · DPOY
JJJerry Jeudy
Jerry Jeudy
WR · Volume
DWDenzel Ward
Denzel Ward
CB · Pro Bowl

DEN Broncos

BNBo Nix
Bo Nix
QB · Rising
CSCourtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton
WR · Contested-catch king
PSPatrick Surtain II
Patrick Surtain II
CB · DPOY

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos?

Our model favors the Denver Broncos, with a 82% win probability over the Cleveland Browns (18%). The projected spread is DEN -5.

What is the prediction for Browns vs Broncos?

Our model favors Denver Broncos (82%) over Cleveland Browns (18%), spread DEN -5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Cleveland Browns are +456 and the Denver Broncos are -456 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Browns vs Broncos?

Watch Myles Garrett (EDGE) for the Browns and Bo Nix (QB) for the Broncos.

Is Browns vs Broncos a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC North vs AFC West), not a division rivalry.