Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%5.9%
Power rating8693
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Buccaneers hosting the AFC Bills. Our model leans Buffalo Bills's way (66% to 34%, BUF -2), but Tampa Bay Buccaneers are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Tampa Bay Buccaneers will want to lean on steady QB play to attack Buffalo Bills, whose secondary depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Buffalo Bills's aggressive front could punish Tampa Bay Buccaneers if run defense goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Todd Bowles and Sean McDermott, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Baker Mayfield (QB) and Josh Allen (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Buccaneers at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

TB Buccaneers

BMBaker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield
QB · Pro Bowl
MEMike Evans
Mike Evans
WR · 1,000-yd streak
LDLavonte David
Lavonte David
LB · Veteran

BUF Bills

JAJosh Allen
Josh Allen
QB · MVP
JCJames Cook
James Cook
RB · Pro Bowl
KSKhalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir
WR · Slot

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills?

Our model favors the Buffalo Bills, with a 66% win probability over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (34%). The projected spread is BUF -2.

What is the prediction for Buccaneers vs Bills?

Our model favors Buffalo Bills (66%) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (34%), spread BUF -2: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are +194 and the Buffalo Bills are -194 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Buccaneers vs Bills?

Watch Baker Mayfield (QB) for the Buccaneers and Josh Allen (QB) for the Bills.

Is Buccaneers vs Bills a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Buccaneers and the AFC Bills.