Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%5.9%
Power rating8693
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Buccaneers hosting the AFC Chiefs. Our model leans Kansas City Chiefs's way (68% to 32%, KC -2.5), but Tampa Bay Buccaneers are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Tampa Bay Buccaneers will want to lean on veteran WR corps to attack Kansas City Chiefs, whose aging skill corps is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Kansas City Chiefs's best QB on earth could punish Tampa Bay Buccaneers if run defense goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Baker Mayfield (QB) and Patrick Mahomes (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Buccaneers, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

TB Buccaneers

BMBaker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield
QB · Pro Bowl
MEMike Evans
Mike Evans
WR · 1,000-yd streak
LDLavonte David
Lavonte David
LB · Veteran

KC Chiefs

PMPatrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
QB · 3× SB MVP
TKTravis Kelce
Travis Kelce
TE · All-Pro
CJChris Jones
Chris Jones
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Our model favors the Kansas City Chiefs, with a 68% win probability over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (32%). The projected spread is KC -2.5.

What is the prediction for Buccaneers vs Chiefs?

Our model favors Kansas City Chiefs (68%) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (32%), spread KC -2.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are +212 and the Kansas City Chiefs are -213 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Buccaneers vs Chiefs?

Watch Baker Mayfield (QB) for the Buccaneers and Patrick Mahomes (QB) for the Chiefs.

Is Buccaneers vs Chiefs a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Buccaneers and the AFC Chiefs.