Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%2.3%
Power rating8678
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Buccaneers hosting the AFC Jaguars. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 82% to Jacksonville Jaguars's 18%, spread TB -5. The power-ranking gap backs it up (#11 vs #24), and January football rarely respects the standings.

Tactically, Tampa Bay Buccaneers will want to lean on veteran WR corps to attack Jacksonville Jaguars, whose line depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Jacksonville Jaguars's ascending WR could punish Tampa Bay Buccaneers if pass-rush depth goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Todd Bowles and Liam Coen, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Baker Mayfield (QB) and Trevor Lawrence (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Buccaneers at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

TB Buccaneers

BMBaker Mayfield
Baker Mayfield
QB · Pro Bowl
MEMike Evans
Mike Evans
WR · 1,000-yd streak
LDLavonte David
Lavonte David
LB · Veteran

JAX Jaguars

TLTrevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Former No. 1
BTBrian Thomas Jr.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR · Star rookie
JHJosh Hines-Allen
Josh Hines-Allen
EDGE · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Our model favors the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with a 82% win probability over the Jacksonville Jaguars (18%). The projected spread is TB -5.

What is the prediction for Buccaneers vs Jaguars?

Our model favors Tampa Bay Buccaneers (82%) over Jacksonville Jaguars (18%), spread TB -5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are -456 and the Jacksonville Jaguars are +456 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Buccaneers vs Jaguars?

Watch Baker Mayfield (QB) for the Buccaneers and Trevor Lawrence (QB) for the Jaguars.

Is Buccaneers vs Jaguars a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Buccaneers and the AFC Jaguars.