Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings

Head to head

Super Bowl odds5.9%1.4%
Power rating9386
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings is an inter-conference matchup: the AFC Chiefs hosting the NFC Vikings. Our model makes Kansas City Chiefs a heavy favorite (82% to win, spread KC -5).

Tactically, Kansas City Chiefs will want to lean on disciplined defense to attack Minnesota Vikings, whose unproven young QB is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Minnesota Vikings's best WR in football could punish Kansas City Chiefs if tackle play goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Andy Reid and Kevin O'Connell, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Patrick Mahomes (QB) and J.J. McCarthy (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Chiefs get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

KC Chiefs

PMPatrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
QB · 3× SB MVP
TKTravis Kelce
Travis Kelce
TE · All-Pro
CJChris Jones
Chris Jones
DT · All-Pro

MIN Vikings

JJJustin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson
WR · OPOY
JMJ.J. McCarthy
J.J. McCarthy
QB · First-rounder
JGJonathan Greenard
Jonathan Greenard
EDGE · Pro Bowl

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings?

Our model favors the Kansas City Chiefs, with a 82% win probability over the Minnesota Vikings (18%). The projected spread is KC -5.

What is the prediction for Chiefs vs Vikings?

Our model favors Kansas City Chiefs (82%) over Minnesota Vikings (18%), spread KC -5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Kansas City Chiefs vs Minnesota Vikings?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Kansas City Chiefs are -456 and the Minnesota Vikings are +456 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Chiefs vs Vikings?

Watch Patrick Mahomes (QB) for the Chiefs and Justin Jefferson (WR) for the Vikings.

Is Chiefs vs Vikings a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the AFC Chiefs and the NFC Vikings.