Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%0.9%
Power rating7782
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins is a cross-division AFC test that could swing the conference picture. This projects as a coin flip, 43-57 with the spread at MIA -1.

Tactically, Indianapolis Colts will want to lean on stout interior to attack Miami Dolphins, whose toughness in cold is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Miami Dolphins's game-breaking speed could punish Indianapolis Colts if qB questions goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) and Tua Tagovailoa (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Colts at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

IND Colts

JTJonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor
RB · All-Pro
MPMichael Pittman Jr.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR · Possession
DBDeForest Buckner
DeForest Buckner
DT · All-Pro

MIA Dolphins

TTTua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa
QB · Accuracy
THTyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
WR · All-Pro
DADe'Von Achane
De'Von Achane
RB · Burner

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins?

Our model favors the Miami Dolphins, with a 57% win probability over the Indianapolis Colts (43%). The projected spread is MIA -1.

What is the prediction for Colts vs Dolphins?

Our model favors Miami Dolphins (57%) over Indianapolis Colts (43%), spread MIA -1: effectively a toss-up.

What are the moneyline odds for Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Indianapolis Colts are +133 and the Miami Dolphins are -133 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Colts vs Dolphins?

Watch Jonathan Taylor (RB) for the Colts and Tua Tagovailoa (QB) for the Dolphins.

Is Colts vs Dolphins a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC South vs AFC East), not a division rivalry.