Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%2.3%
Power rating7778
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars is a AFC South rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. This projects as a coin flip, 55-45 with the spread at IND -0.5. Only 1 spot separate them in the power rankings, about as even as it gets.

Tactically, Indianapolis Colts will want to lean on bell-cow back to attack Jacksonville Jaguars, whose line depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Jacksonville Jaguars's disruptive edge could punish Indianapolis Colts if secondary goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) and Trevor Lawrence (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Colts get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

IND Colts

JTJonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor
RB · All-Pro
MPMichael Pittman Jr.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR · Possession
DBDeForest Buckner
DeForest Buckner
DT · All-Pro

JAX Jaguars

TLTrevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Former No. 1
BTBrian Thomas Jr.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR · Star rookie
JHJosh Hines-Allen
Josh Hines-Allen
EDGE · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Our model favors the Indianapolis Colts, with a 55% win probability over the Jacksonville Jaguars (45%). The projected spread is IND -0.5.

What is the prediction for Colts vs Jaguars?

Our model favors Indianapolis Colts (55%) over Jacksonville Jaguars (45%), spread IND -0.5: effectively a toss-up.

What are the moneyline odds for Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Indianapolis Colts are -122 and the Jacksonville Jaguars are +122 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Colts vs Jaguars?

Watch Jonathan Taylor (RB) for the Colts and Trevor Lawrence (QB) for the Jaguars.

Is Colts vs Jaguars a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Colts and Jaguars play in the AFC South, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.