Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%0.9%
Power rating7777
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model leans Indianapolis Colts's way (62% to 38%, IND -1.5), but New York Jets are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Indianapolis Colts will want to lean on stout interior to attack New York Jets, whose offensive line is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, New York Jets's aggressive defense could punish Indianapolis Colts if secondary goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) and Garrett Wilson (WR): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Colts get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

IND Colts

JTJonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor
RB · All-Pro
MPMichael Pittman Jr.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR · Possession
DBDeForest Buckner
DeForest Buckner
DT · All-Pro

NYJ Jets

GWGarrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson
WR · Star
BHBreece Hall
Breece Hall
RB · Explosive
SGSauce Gardner
Sauce Gardner
CB · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets?

Our model favors the Indianapolis Colts, with a 62% win probability over the New York Jets (38%). The projected spread is IND -1.5.

What is the prediction for Colts vs Jets?

Our model favors Indianapolis Colts (62%) over New York Jets (38%), spread IND -1.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Indianapolis Colts vs New York Jets?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Indianapolis Colts are -163 and the New York Jets are +163 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Colts vs Jets?

Watch Jonathan Taylor (RB) for the Colts and Garrett Wilson (WR) for the Jets.

Is Colts vs Jets a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC South vs AFC East), not a division rivalry.