Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots
Head to head
Preview
How it plays out
Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model can barely split them: Indianapolis Colts 50%, New England Patriots 50% (PK). Only 2 spots separate them in the power rankings, about as even as it gets.
Tactically, Indianapolis Colts will want to lean on balanced attack to attack New England Patriots, whose overall depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, New England Patriots's shutdown corner could punish Indianapolis Colts if secondary goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.
Keep an eye on Michael Pittman Jr. (WR) and Drake Maye (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Colts, and in a game this close that edge matters.
Key players
Colts
Patriots
Frequently asked
Who is favored in Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots?
Our model favors the Indianapolis Colts, with a 50% win probability over the New England Patriots (50%). The projected spread is PK.
What is the prediction for Colts vs Patriots?
Our model favors Indianapolis Colts (50%) over New England Patriots (50%), spread PK: effectively a toss-up.
What are the moneyline odds for Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots?
Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Indianapolis Colts are -100 and the New England Patriots are -100 on the moneyline.
Who are the key players to watch in Colts vs Patriots?
Watch Jonathan Taylor (RB) for the Colts and Drake Maye (QB) for the Patriots.
Is Colts vs Patriots a divisional game?
No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC South vs AFC East), not a division rivalry.