Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts

Head to head

Super Bowl odds2.3%1.4%
Power rating8877
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Commanders hosting the AFC Colts. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Washington Commanders at 87% to Indianapolis Colts's 13%, spread WAS -6.5. The power-ranking gap backs it up (#9 vs #25), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, Washington Commanders will want to lean on explosive plays to attack Indianapolis Colts, whose qB questions is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Indianapolis Colts's stout interior could punish Washington Commanders if pass-rush juice goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Jayden Daniels (QB) and Michael Pittman Jr. (WR): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Commanders at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

WAS Commanders

JDJayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels
QB · OROY
TMTerry McLaurin
Terry McLaurin
WR · Pro Bowl
BWBobby Wagner
Bobby Wagner
LB · Veteran

IND Colts

JTJonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor
RB · All-Pro
MPMichael Pittman Jr.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR · Possession
DBDeForest Buckner
DeForest Buckner
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts?

Our model favors the Washington Commanders, with a 87% win probability over the Indianapolis Colts (13%). The projected spread is WAS -6.5.

What is the prediction for Commanders vs Colts?

Our model favors Washington Commanders (87%) over Indianapolis Colts (13%), spread WAS -6.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Washington Commanders are -669 and the Indianapolis Colts are +669 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Commanders vs Colts?

Watch Jayden Daniels (QB) for the Commanders and Jonathan Taylor (RB) for the Colts.

Is Commanders vs Colts a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Commanders and the AFC Colts.