Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Head to head

Super Bowl odds2.3%3.2%
Power rating8884
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys is a NFC East divisional clash between two teams that know each other cold. Our model makes Washington Commanders a heavy favorite (73% to win, spread WAS -3).

Tactically, Washington Commanders will want to lean on veteran leadership to attack Dallas Cowboys, whose depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Dallas Cowboys's explosive passing could punish Washington Commanders if secondary depth goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Dan Quinn and Brian Schottenheimer, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Jayden Daniels (QB) and Dak Prescott (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Commanders get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

WAS Commanders

JDJayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels
QB · OROY
TMTerry McLaurin
Terry McLaurin
WR · Pro Bowl
BWBobby Wagner
Bobby Wagner
LB · Veteran

DAL Cowboys

DPDak Prescott
Dak Prescott
QB · Pro Bowl
CLCeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
WR · All-Pro
MPMicah Parsons
Micah Parsons
EDGE · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys?

Our model favors the Washington Commanders, with a 73% win probability over the Dallas Cowboys (27%). The projected spread is WAS -3.

What is the prediction for Commanders vs Cowboys?

Our model favors Washington Commanders (73%) over Dallas Cowboys (27%), spread WAS -3: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Washington Commanders are -270 and the Dallas Cowboys are +270 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Commanders vs Cowboys?

Watch Jayden Daniels (QB) for the Commanders and Dak Prescott (QB) for the Cowboys.

Is Commanders vs Cowboys a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Commanders and Cowboys play in the NFC East, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.