Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.2%3.2%
Power rating8481
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears is an all-NFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model makes Dallas Cowboys a heavy favorite (70% to win, spread DAL -2.5).

Tactically, Dallas Cowboys will want to lean on star WR1 to attack Chicago Bears, whose line continuity is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Chicago Bears's bright play-caller could punish Dallas Cowboys if playoff demons goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Dak Prescott (QB) and Caleb Williams (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Cowboys, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

DAL Cowboys

DPDak Prescott
Dak Prescott
QB · Pro Bowl
CLCeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
WR · All-Pro
MPMicah Parsons
Micah Parsons
EDGE · All-Pro

CHI Bears

CWCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams
QB · No. 1 pick
DMD.J. Moore
D.J. Moore
WR · Reliable
MSMontez Sweat
Montez Sweat
EDGE · Pro Bowl

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears?

Our model favors the Dallas Cowboys, with a 70% win probability over the Chicago Bears (30%). The projected spread is DAL -2.5.

What is the prediction for Cowboys vs Bears?

Our model favors Dallas Cowboys (70%) over Chicago Bears (30%), spread DAL -2.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Dallas Cowboys vs Chicago Bears?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Dallas Cowboys are -233 and the Chicago Bears are +233 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Cowboys vs Bears?

Watch Dak Prescott (QB) for the Cowboys and Caleb Williams (QB) for the Bears.

Is Cowboys vs Bears a divisional game?

No. It is an NFC inter-divisional game (NFC East vs NFC North), not a division rivalry.