Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.1%2.2%
Power rating8488
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders is a NFC East divisional clash between two teams that know each other cold. Our model can barely split them: Dallas Cowboys 43%, Washington Commanders 57% (WAS -1).

Tactically, Dallas Cowboys will want to lean on star WR1 to attack Washington Commanders, whose secondary depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Washington Commanders's dynamic young QB could punish Dallas Cowboys if run game goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Dak Prescott (QB) and Jayden Daniels (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Cowboys, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

DAL Cowboys

DPDak Prescott
Dak Prescott
QB · Pro Bowl
CLCeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
WR · All-Pro
MPMicah Parsons
Micah Parsons
EDGE · All-Pro

WAS Commanders

JDJayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels
QB · OROY
TMTerry McLaurin
Terry McLaurin
WR · Pro Bowl
BWBobby Wagner
Bobby Wagner
LB · Veteran

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders?

Our model favors the Washington Commanders, with a 57% win probability over the Dallas Cowboys (43%). The projected spread is WAS -1.

What is the prediction for Cowboys vs Commanders?

Our model favors Washington Commanders (57%) over Dallas Cowboys (43%), spread WAS -1: effectively a toss-up.

What are the moneyline odds for Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Dallas Cowboys are +133 and the Washington Commanders are -133 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Cowboys vs Commanders?

Watch Dak Prescott (QB) for the Cowboys and Jayden Daniels (QB) for the Commanders.

Is Cowboys vs Commanders a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Cowboys and Commanders play in the NFC East, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.