Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.2%1.4%
Power rating8479
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons is a cross-division NFC test that could swing the conference picture. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Dallas Cowboys at 74% to Atlanta Falcons's 26%, spread DAL -3.5.

Tactically, Dallas Cowboys will want to lean on explosive passing to attack Atlanta Falcons, whose secondary is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Atlanta Falcons's strong line could punish Dallas Cowboys if depth goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Brian Schottenheimer and Raheem Morris, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Dak Prescott (QB) and Michael Penix Jr. (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Cowboys get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

DAL Cowboys

DPDak Prescott
Dak Prescott
QB · Pro Bowl
CLCeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
WR · All-Pro
MPMicah Parsons
Micah Parsons
EDGE · All-Pro

ATL Falcons

BRBijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson
RB · All-Pro
DLDrake London
Drake London
WR · Ascending
MPMichael Penix Jr.
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · Big arm

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons?

Our model favors the Dallas Cowboys, with a 74% win probability over the Atlanta Falcons (26%). The projected spread is DAL -3.5.

What is the prediction for Cowboys vs Falcons?

Our model favors Dallas Cowboys (74%) over Atlanta Falcons (26%), spread DAL -3.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Dallas Cowboys vs Atlanta Falcons?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Dallas Cowboys are -285 and the Atlanta Falcons are +285 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Cowboys vs Falcons?

Watch Dak Prescott (QB) for the Cowboys and Bijan Robinson (RB) for the Falcons.

Is Cowboys vs Falcons a divisional game?

No. It is an NFC inter-divisional game (NFC East vs NFC South), not a division rivalry.