Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.2%4.1%
Power rating8491
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions is an all-NFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model leans Detroit Lions's way (68% to 32%, DET -2.5), but Dallas Cowboys are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Dallas Cowboys will want to lean on star WR1 to attack Detroit Lions, whose injury-hit defense is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Detroit Lions's balanced scoring could punish Dallas Cowboys if run game goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Dak Prescott (QB) and Jared Goff (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Cowboys, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

DAL Cowboys

DPDak Prescott
Dak Prescott
QB · Pro Bowl
CLCeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
WR · All-Pro
MPMicah Parsons
Micah Parsons
EDGE · All-Pro

DET Lions

JGJared Goff
Jared Goff
QB · Pro Bowl
ASAmon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR · All-Pro
PSPenei Sewell
Penei Sewell
OT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions?

Our model favors the Detroit Lions, with a 68% win probability over the Dallas Cowboys (32%). The projected spread is DET -2.5.

What is the prediction for Cowboys vs Lions?

Our model favors Detroit Lions (68%) over Dallas Cowboys (32%), spread DET -2.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Dallas Cowboys are +212 and the Detroit Lions are -213 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Cowboys vs Lions?

Watch Dak Prescott (QB) for the Cowboys and Jared Goff (QB) for the Lions.

Is Cowboys vs Lions a divisional game?

No. It is an NFC inter-divisional game (NFC East vs NFC North), not a division rivalry.