Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.2%1.4%
Power rating8482
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Cowboys hosting the AFC Steelers. Our model leans Dallas Cowboys's way (63% to 37%, DAL -2), but Pittsburgh Steelers are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Dallas Cowboys will want to lean on star WR1 to attack Pittsburgh Steelers, whose explosive plays is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Pittsburgh Steelers's physical defense could punish Dallas Cowboys if depth goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Dak Prescott (QB) and DK Metcalf (WR): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Cowboys at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

DAL Cowboys

DPDak Prescott
Dak Prescott
QB · Pro Bowl
CLCeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
WR · All-Pro
MPMicah Parsons
Micah Parsons
EDGE · All-Pro

PIT Steelers

TWT.J. Watt
T.J. Watt
EDGE · DPOY
DMDK Metcalf
DK Metcalf
WR · Deep threat
CHCam Heyward
Cam Heyward
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Our model favors the Dallas Cowboys, with a 63% win probability over the Pittsburgh Steelers (37%). The projected spread is DAL -2.

What is the prediction for Cowboys vs Steelers?

Our model favors Dallas Cowboys (63%) over Pittsburgh Steelers (37%), spread DAL -2: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Dallas Cowboys vs Pittsburgh Steelers?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Dallas Cowboys are -170 and the Pittsburgh Steelers are +170 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Cowboys vs Steelers?

Watch Dak Prescott (QB) for the Cowboys and T.J. Watt (EDGE) for the Steelers.

Is Cowboys vs Steelers a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Cowboys and the AFC Steelers.