Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos

Head to head

Super Bowl odds0.9%4.1%
Power rating8285
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model can barely split them: Miami Dolphins 45%, Denver Broncos 55% (DEN -0.5). Only 4 spots separate them in the power rankings, about as even as it gets.

Tactically, Miami Dolphins will want to lean on quick-strike offense to attack Denver Broncos, whose skill talent is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Denver Broncos's shutdown corner could punish Miami Dolphins if toughness in cold goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Tua Tagovailoa (QB) and Bo Nix (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Dolphins, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

MIA Dolphins

TTTua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa
QB · Accuracy
THTyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
WR · All-Pro
DADe'Von Achane
De'Von Achane
RB · Burner

DEN Broncos

BNBo Nix
Bo Nix
QB · Rising
CSCourtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton
WR · Contested-catch king
PSPatrick Surtain II
Patrick Surtain II
CB · DPOY

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos?

Our model favors the Denver Broncos, with a 55% win probability over the Miami Dolphins (45%). The projected spread is DEN -0.5.

What is the prediction for Dolphins vs Broncos?

Our model favors Denver Broncos (55%) over Miami Dolphins (45%), spread DEN -0.5: effectively a toss-up.

What are the moneyline odds for Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Miami Dolphins are +122 and the Denver Broncos are -122 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Dolphins vs Broncos?

Watch Tua Tagovailoa (QB) for the Dolphins and Bo Nix (QB) for the Broncos.

Is Dolphins vs Broncos a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC East vs AFC West), not a division rivalry.