Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys

Head to head

Super Bowl odds0.9%3.2%
Power rating8284
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys is an inter-conference matchup: the AFC Dolphins hosting the NFC Cowboys. Our model can barely split them: Miami Dolphins 51%, Dallas Cowboys 49% (PK). Only 2 spots separate them in the power rankings, about as even as it gets.

Tactically, Miami Dolphins will want to lean on creative scheme to attack Dallas Cowboys, whose playoff demons is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Dallas Cowboys's star WR1 could punish Miami Dolphins if toughness in cold goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Tua Tagovailoa (QB) and Dak Prescott (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Dolphins, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

MIA Dolphins

TTTua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa
QB · Accuracy
THTyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
WR · All-Pro
DADe'Von Achane
De'Von Achane
RB · Burner

DAL Cowboys

DPDak Prescott
Dak Prescott
QB · Pro Bowl
CLCeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
WR · All-Pro
MPMicah Parsons
Micah Parsons
EDGE · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys?

Our model favors the Miami Dolphins, with a 51% win probability over the Dallas Cowboys (49%). The projected spread is PK.

What is the prediction for Dolphins vs Cowboys?

Our model favors Miami Dolphins (51%) over Dallas Cowboys (49%), spread PK: effectively a toss-up.

What are the moneyline odds for Miami Dolphins vs Dallas Cowboys?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Miami Dolphins are -104 and the Dallas Cowboys are +104 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Dolphins vs Cowboys?

Watch Tua Tagovailoa (QB) for the Dolphins and Dak Prescott (QB) for the Cowboys.

Is Dolphins vs Cowboys a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the AFC Dolphins and the NFC Cowboys.