Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions

Head to head

Super Bowl odds0.9%4.1%
Power rating8291
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions is an inter-conference matchup: the AFC Dolphins hosting the NFC Lions. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Detroit Lions at 74% to Miami Dolphins's 26%, spread DET -3.5. The power-ranking gap backs it up (#18 vs #5), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, Miami Dolphins will want to lean on quick-strike offense to attack Detroit Lions, whose injury-hit defense is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Detroit Lions's balanced scoring could punish Miami Dolphins if toughness in cold goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Tua Tagovailoa (QB) and Jared Goff (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Dolphins get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

MIA Dolphins

TTTua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa
QB · Accuracy
THTyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
WR · All-Pro
DADe'Von Achane
De'Von Achane
RB · Burner

DET Lions

JGJared Goff
Jared Goff
QB · Pro Bowl
ASAmon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR · All-Pro
PSPenei Sewell
Penei Sewell
OT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions?

Our model favors the Detroit Lions, with a 74% win probability over the Miami Dolphins (26%). The projected spread is DET -3.5.

What is the prediction for Dolphins vs Lions?

Our model favors Detroit Lions (74%) over Miami Dolphins (26%), spread DET -3.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Miami Dolphins are +285 and the Detroit Lions are -285 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Dolphins vs Lions?

Watch Tua Tagovailoa (QB) for the Dolphins and Jared Goff (QB) for the Lions.

Is Dolphins vs Lions a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the AFC Dolphins and the NFC Lions.