Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders

Head to head

Super Bowl odds0.9%0.9%
Power rating8275
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model makes Miami Dolphins a heavy favorite (80% to win, spread MIA -4.5).

Tactically, Miami Dolphins will want to lean on quick-strike offense to attack Las Vegas Raiders, whose qB room is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Las Vegas Raiders's star young TE could punish Miami Dolphins if trench play goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Tua Tagovailoa (QB) and Brock Bowers (TE): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Dolphins, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

MIA Dolphins

TTTua Tagovailoa
Tua Tagovailoa
QB · Accuracy
THTyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
WR · All-Pro
DADe'Von Achane
De'Von Achane
RB · Burner

LV Raiders

MCMaxx Crosby
Maxx Crosby
EDGE · All-Pro
BBBrock Bowers
Brock Bowers
TE · Record rookie
AJAshton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty
RB · Top pick

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Our model favors the Miami Dolphins, with a 80% win probability over the Las Vegas Raiders (20%). The projected spread is MIA -4.5.

What is the prediction for Dolphins vs Raiders?

Our model favors Miami Dolphins (80%) over Las Vegas Raiders (20%), spread MIA -4.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Miami Dolphins are -400 and the Las Vegas Raiders are +400 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Dolphins vs Raiders?

Watch Tua Tagovailoa (QB) for the Dolphins and Maxx Crosby (EDGE) for the Raiders.

Is Dolphins vs Raiders a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC East vs AFC West), not a division rivalry.