Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%1.4%
Power rating7977
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Falcons hosting the AFC Colts. Our model leans Atlanta Falcons's way (65% to 35%, ATL -2), but Indianapolis Colts are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Atlanta Falcons will want to lean on strong line to attack Indianapolis Colts, whose secondary is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Indianapolis Colts's balanced attack could punish Atlanta Falcons if young QB goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Michael Penix Jr. (QB) and Michael Pittman Jr. (WR): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Falcons at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

ATL Falcons

BRBijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson
RB · All-Pro
DLDrake London
Drake London
WR · Ascending
MPMichael Penix Jr.
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · Big arm

IND Colts

JTJonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor
RB · All-Pro
MPMichael Pittman Jr.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR · Possession
DBDeForest Buckner
DeForest Buckner
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts?

Our model favors the Atlanta Falcons, with a 65% win probability over the Indianapolis Colts (35%). The projected spread is ATL -2.

What is the prediction for Falcons vs Colts?

Our model favors Atlanta Falcons (65%) over Indianapolis Colts (35%), spread ATL -2: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Atlanta Falcons vs Indianapolis Colts?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Atlanta Falcons are -186 and the Indianapolis Colts are +186 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Falcons vs Colts?

Watch Bijan Robinson (RB) for the Falcons and Jonathan Taylor (RB) for the Colts.

Is Falcons vs Colts a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Falcons and the AFC Colts.