Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%2.3%
Power rating7978
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Falcons hosting the AFC Jaguars. Our model leans Atlanta Falcons's way (62% to 38%, ATL -1.5), but Jacksonville Jaguars are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Atlanta Falcons will want to lean on elite running back to attack Jacksonville Jaguars, whose consistency is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Jacksonville Jaguars's big-armed QB could punish Atlanta Falcons if pass rush goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Michael Penix Jr. (QB) and Trevor Lawrence (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Falcons get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

ATL Falcons

BRBijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson
RB · All-Pro
DLDrake London
Drake London
WR · Ascending
MPMichael Penix Jr.
Michael Penix Jr.
QB · Big arm

JAX Jaguars

TLTrevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Former No. 1
BTBrian Thomas Jr.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR · Star rookie
JHJosh Hines-Allen
Josh Hines-Allen
EDGE · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Our model favors the Atlanta Falcons, with a 62% win probability over the Jacksonville Jaguars (38%). The projected spread is ATL -1.5.

What is the prediction for Falcons vs Jaguars?

Our model favors Atlanta Falcons (62%) over Jacksonville Jaguars (38%), spread ATL -1.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Atlanta Falcons vs Jacksonville Jaguars?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Atlanta Falcons are -163 and the Jacksonville Jaguars are +163 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Falcons vs Jaguars?

Watch Bijan Robinson (RB) for the Falcons and Trevor Lawrence (QB) for the Jaguars.

Is Falcons vs Jaguars a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Falcons and the AFC Jaguars.