Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos

Head to head

Super Bowl odds2.3%4.1%
Power rating7885
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model leans Denver Broncos's way (67% to 33%, DEN -2.5), but Jacksonville Jaguars are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Jacksonville Jaguars will want to lean on big-armed QB to attack Denver Broncos, whose skill talent is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Denver Broncos's shutdown corner could punish Jacksonville Jaguars if run defense goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Liam Coen and Sean Payton, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Trevor Lawrence (QB) and Bo Nix (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Jaguars at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

JAX Jaguars

TLTrevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Former No. 1
BTBrian Thomas Jr.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR · Star rookie
JHJosh Hines-Allen
Josh Hines-Allen
EDGE · All-Pro

DEN Broncos

BNBo Nix
Bo Nix
QB · Rising
CSCourtland Sutton
Courtland Sutton
WR · Contested-catch king
PSPatrick Surtain II
Patrick Surtain II
CB · DPOY

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos?

Our model favors the Denver Broncos, with a 67% win probability over the Jacksonville Jaguars (33%). The projected spread is DEN -2.5.

What is the prediction for Jaguars vs Broncos?

Our model favors Denver Broncos (67%) over Jacksonville Jaguars (33%), spread DEN -2.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Jacksonville Jaguars are +203 and the Denver Broncos are -203 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Jaguars vs Broncos?

Watch Trevor Lawrence (QB) for the Jaguars and Bo Nix (QB) for the Broncos.

Is Jaguars vs Broncos a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC South vs AFC West), not a division rivalry.