Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Head to head

Super Bowl odds2.3%1.4%
Power rating7877
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts is a AFC South rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. Jacksonville Jaguars are favored at 62% (JAX -1.5), yet Indianapolis Colts's 38% says this is no walkover.

Tactically, Jacksonville Jaguars will want to lean on disruptive edge to attack Indianapolis Colts, whose pass rush is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Indianapolis Colts's bell-cow back could punish Jacksonville Jaguars if run defense goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Liam Coen and Shane Steichen, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Trevor Lawrence (QB) and Michael Pittman Jr. (WR): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Jaguars at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

JAX Jaguars

TLTrevor Lawrence
Trevor Lawrence
QB · Former No. 1
BTBrian Thomas Jr.
Brian Thomas Jr.
WR · Star rookie
JHJosh Hines-Allen
Josh Hines-Allen
EDGE · All-Pro

IND Colts

JTJonathan Taylor
Jonathan Taylor
RB · All-Pro
MPMichael Pittman Jr.
Michael Pittman Jr.
WR · Possession
DBDeForest Buckner
DeForest Buckner
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts?

Our model favors the Jacksonville Jaguars, with a 62% win probability over the Indianapolis Colts (38%). The projected spread is JAX -1.5.

What is the prediction for Jaguars vs Colts?

Our model favors Jacksonville Jaguars (62%) over Indianapolis Colts (38%), spread JAX -1.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Jacksonville Jaguars are -163 and the Indianapolis Colts are +163 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Jaguars vs Colts?

Watch Trevor Lawrence (QB) for the Jaguars and Jonathan Taylor (RB) for the Colts.

Is Jaguars vs Colts a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Jaguars and Colts play in the AFC South, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.