New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Head to head

Super Bowl odds0.9%4.1%
Power rating7780
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

New York Jets vs New England Patriots is a AFC East rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. This projects as a coin flip, 47-53 with the spread at NE -0.5. Only 3 spots separate them in the power rankings, about as even as it gets.

Tactically, New York Jets will want to lean on dynamic skill talent to attack New England Patriots, whose offensive line is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, New England Patriots's promising young QB could punish New York Jets if qB stability goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Garrett Wilson (WR) and Drake Maye (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Jets, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

NYJ Jets

GWGarrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson
WR · Star
BHBreece Hall
Breece Hall
RB · Explosive
SGSauce Gardner
Sauce Gardner
CB · All-Pro

NE Patriots

DMDrake Maye
Drake Maye
QB · Franchise hope
RSRhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB · Workhorse
CGChristian Gonzalez
Christian Gonzalez
CB · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

Our model favors the New England Patriots, with a 53% win probability over the New York Jets (47%). The projected spread is NE -0.5.

What is the prediction for Jets vs Patriots?

Our model favors New England Patriots (53%) over New York Jets (47%), spread NE -0.5: effectively a toss-up.

What are the moneyline odds for New York Jets vs New England Patriots?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the New York Jets are +113 and the New England Patriots are -113 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Jets vs Patriots?

Watch Garrett Wilson (WR) for the Jets and Drake Maye (QB) for the Patriots.

Is Jets vs Patriots a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Jets and Patriots play in the AFC East, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.