Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

Head to head

Super Bowl odds4.1%3.2%
Power rating9181
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears is a NFC North rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Detroit Lions at 87% to Chicago Bears's 13%, spread DET -6.5. The power-ranking gap backs it up (#5 vs #21), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, Detroit Lions will want to lean on balanced scoring to attack Chicago Bears, whose line continuity is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Chicago Bears's high-ceiling QB could punish Detroit Lions if pass rush health goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Dan Campbell and Ben Johnson, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Jared Goff (QB) and Caleb Williams (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Lions at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

DET Lions

JGJared Goff
Jared Goff
QB · Pro Bowl
ASAmon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR · All-Pro
PSPenei Sewell
Penei Sewell
OT · All-Pro

CHI Bears

CWCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams
QB · No. 1 pick
DMD.J. Moore
D.J. Moore
WR · Reliable
MSMontez Sweat
Montez Sweat
EDGE · Pro Bowl

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears?

Our model favors the Detroit Lions, with a 87% win probability over the Chicago Bears (13%). The projected spread is DET -6.5.

What is the prediction for Lions vs Bears?

Our model favors Detroit Lions (87%) over Chicago Bears (13%), spread DET -6.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Detroit Lions are -669 and the Chicago Bears are +669 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Lions vs Bears?

Watch Jared Goff (QB) for the Lions and Caleb Williams (QB) for the Bears.

Is Lions vs Bears a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Lions and Bears play in the NFC North, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.