Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Head to head

Super Bowl odds3.2%5.9%
Power rating8993
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Packers hosting the AFC Chiefs. Our model leans Kansas City Chiefs's way (59% to 41%, KC -1), but Green Bay Packers are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Green Bay Packers will want to lean on balanced attack to attack Kansas City Chiefs, whose explosive WR speed is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Kansas City Chiefs's disciplined defense could punish Green Bay Packers if edge depth goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Jordan Love (QB) and Patrick Mahomes (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Packers, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

GB Packers

JLJordan Love
Jordan Love
QB · Gunslinger
JJJosh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs
RB · Pro Bowl
XMXavier McKinney
Xavier McKinney
S · All-Pro

KC Chiefs

PMPatrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
QB · 3× SB MVP
TKTravis Kelce
Travis Kelce
TE · All-Pro
CJChris Jones
Chris Jones
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Our model favors the Kansas City Chiefs, with a 59% win probability over the Green Bay Packers (41%). The projected spread is KC -1.

What is the prediction for Packers vs Chiefs?

Our model favors Kansas City Chiefs (59%) over Green Bay Packers (41%), spread KC -1: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Green Bay Packers are +144 and the Kansas City Chiefs are -144 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Packers vs Chiefs?

Watch Jordan Love (QB) for the Packers and Patrick Mahomes (QB) for the Chiefs.

Is Packers vs Chiefs a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Packers and the AFC Chiefs.