New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers
Head to head
Preview
How it plays out
New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model leans Los Angeles Chargers's way (65% to 35%, LAC -2), but New England Patriots are live enough to make it interesting.
Tactically, New England Patriots will want to lean on tough new coach to attack Los Angeles Chargers, whose red-zone finishing is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Los Angeles Chargers's veteran pass rush could punish New England Patriots if overall depth goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.
Keep an eye on Drake Maye (QB) and Justin Herbert (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Patriots get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.
Key players
Patriots
Chargers
Frequently asked
Who is favored in New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers?
Our model favors the Los Angeles Chargers, with a 65% win probability over the New England Patriots (35%). The projected spread is LAC -2.
What is the prediction for Patriots vs Chargers?
Our model favors Los Angeles Chargers (65%) over New England Patriots (35%), spread LAC -2: a lean rather than a lock.
What are the moneyline odds for New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers?
Implied from our model's win probabilities, the New England Patriots are +186 and the Los Angeles Chargers are -186 on the moneyline.
Who are the key players to watch in Patriots vs Chargers?
Watch Drake Maye (QB) for the Patriots and Justin Herbert (QB) for the Chargers.
Is Patriots vs Chargers a divisional game?
No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC East vs AFC West), not a division rivalry.