New England Patriots vs Dallas Cowboys

Head to head

Super Bowl odds4.1%3.2%
Power rating8084
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

New England Patriots vs Dallas Cowboys is an inter-conference matchup: the AFC Patriots hosting the NFC Cowboys. This projects as a coin flip, 43-57 with the spread at DAL -1.

Tactically, New England Patriots will want to lean on tough new coach to attack Dallas Cowboys, whose run game is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Dallas Cowboys's game-wrecking edge could punish New England Patriots if offensive line goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Drake Maye (QB) and Dak Prescott (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Patriots at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

NE Patriots

DMDrake Maye
Drake Maye
QB · Franchise hope
RSRhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB · Workhorse
CGChristian Gonzalez
Christian Gonzalez
CB · All-Pro

DAL Cowboys

DPDak Prescott
Dak Prescott
QB · Pro Bowl
CLCeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb
WR · All-Pro
MPMicah Parsons
Micah Parsons
EDGE · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in New England Patriots vs Dallas Cowboys?

Our model favors the Dallas Cowboys, with a 57% win probability over the New England Patriots (43%). The projected spread is DAL -1.

What is the prediction for Patriots vs Cowboys?

Our model favors Dallas Cowboys (57%) over New England Patriots (43%), spread DAL -1: effectively a toss-up.

What are the moneyline odds for New England Patriots vs Dallas Cowboys?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the New England Patriots are +133 and the Dallas Cowboys are -133 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Patriots vs Cowboys?

Watch Drake Maye (QB) for the Patriots and Dak Prescott (QB) for the Cowboys.

Is Patriots vs Cowboys a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the AFC Patriots and the NFC Cowboys.