New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Head to head

Super Bowl odds4.1%0.9%
Power rating8077
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

New England Patriots vs New York Jets is a AFC East rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. New England Patriots are favored at 69% (NE -2.5), yet New York Jets's 31% says this is no walkover.

Tactically, New England Patriots will want to lean on promising young QB to attack New York Jets, whose qB stability is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, New York Jets's lockdown corner could punish New England Patriots if wR talent goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Drake Maye (QB) and Garrett Wilson (WR): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Patriots get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

NE Patriots

DMDrake Maye
Drake Maye
QB · Franchise hope
RSRhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB · Workhorse
CGChristian Gonzalez
Christian Gonzalez
CB · All-Pro

NYJ Jets

GWGarrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson
WR · Star
BHBreece Hall
Breece Hall
RB · Explosive
SGSauce Gardner
Sauce Gardner
CB · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

Our model favors the New England Patriots, with a 69% win probability over the New York Jets (31%). The projected spread is NE -2.5.

What is the prediction for Patriots vs Jets?

Our model favors New England Patriots (69%) over New York Jets (31%), spread NE -2.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for New England Patriots vs New York Jets?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the New England Patriots are -223 and the New York Jets are +223 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Patriots vs Jets?

Watch Drake Maye (QB) for the Patriots and Garrett Wilson (WR) for the Jets.

Is Patriots vs Jets a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Patriots and Jets play in the AFC East, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.