New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers

Head to head

Super Bowl odds4.1%3.2%
Power rating8089
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers is an inter-conference matchup: the AFC Patriots hosting the NFC Packers. Our model makes Green Bay Packers a heavy favorite (74% to win, spread GB -3.5). The power-ranking gap backs it up (#23 vs #8), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, New England Patriots will want to lean on promising young QB to attack Green Bay Packers, whose wR consistency is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Green Bay Packers's balanced attack could punish New England Patriots if overall depth goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Mike Vrabel and Matt LaFleur, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Drake Maye (QB) and Jordan Love (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Patriots get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.

Key players

NE Patriots

DMDrake Maye
Drake Maye
QB · Franchise hope
RSRhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB · Workhorse
CGChristian Gonzalez
Christian Gonzalez
CB · All-Pro

GB Packers

JLJordan Love
Jordan Love
QB · Gunslinger
JJJosh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs
RB · Pro Bowl
XMXavier McKinney
Xavier McKinney
S · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers?

Our model favors the Green Bay Packers, with a 74% win probability over the New England Patriots (26%). The projected spread is GB -3.5.

What is the prediction for Patriots vs Packers?

Our model favors Green Bay Packers (74%) over New England Patriots (26%), spread GB -3.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the New England Patriots are +285 and the Green Bay Packers are -285 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Patriots vs Packers?

Watch Drake Maye (QB) for the Patriots and Jordan Love (QB) for the Packers.

Is Patriots vs Packers a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the AFC Patriots and the NFC Packers.