Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

Head to head

Super Bowl odds0.9%5.8%
Power rating7593
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs is a AFC West rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Kansas City Chiefs at 92% to Las Vegas Raiders's 8%, spread KC -8. The power-ranking gap backs it up (#29 vs #2), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, Las Vegas Raiders will want to lean on star young TE to attack Kansas City Chiefs, whose tackle play is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Kansas City Chiefs's best QB on earth could punish Las Vegas Raiders if secondary goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on Brock Bowers (TE) and Patrick Mahomes (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Raiders, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

LV Raiders

MCMaxx Crosby
Maxx Crosby
EDGE · All-Pro
BBBrock Bowers
Brock Bowers
TE · Record rookie
AJAshton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty
RB · Top pick

KC Chiefs

PMPatrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
QB · 3× SB MVP
TKTravis Kelce
Travis Kelce
TE · All-Pro
CJChris Jones
Chris Jones
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Our model favors the Kansas City Chiefs, with a 92% win probability over the Las Vegas Raiders (8%). The projected spread is KC -8.

What is the prediction for Raiders vs Chiefs?

Our model favors Kansas City Chiefs (92%) over Las Vegas Raiders (8%), spread KC -8: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Las Vegas Raiders are +1150 and the Kansas City Chiefs are -1150 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Raiders vs Chiefs?

Watch Maxx Crosby (EDGE) for the Raiders and Patrick Mahomes (QB) for the Chiefs.

Is Raiders vs Chiefs a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Raiders and Chiefs play in the AFC West, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.