Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Head to head

Super Bowl odds5%5.9%
Power rating9293
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model can barely split them: Baltimore Ravens 53%, Kansas City Chiefs 47% (BAL -0.5). Only 2 spots separate them in the power rankings, about as even as it gets.

Tactically, Baltimore Ravens will want to lean on star linebacker to attack Kansas City Chiefs, whose explosive WR speed is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Kansas City Chiefs's clutch DNA could punish Baltimore Ravens if secondary lapses goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on Lamar Jackson (QB) and Patrick Mahomes (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Ravens, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

BAL Ravens

LJLamar Jackson
Lamar Jackson
QB · 2× MVP
DHDerrick Henry
Derrick Henry
RB · All-Pro
RSRoquan Smith
Roquan Smith
LB · All-Pro

KC Chiefs

PMPatrick Mahomes
Patrick Mahomes
QB · 3× SB MVP
TKTravis Kelce
Travis Kelce
TE · All-Pro
CJChris Jones
Chris Jones
DT · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Our model favors the Baltimore Ravens, with a 53% win probability over the Kansas City Chiefs (47%). The projected spread is BAL -0.5.

What is the prediction for Ravens vs Chiefs?

Our model favors Baltimore Ravens (53%) over Kansas City Chiefs (47%), spread BAL -0.5: effectively a toss-up.

What are the moneyline odds for Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Baltimore Ravens are -113 and the Kansas City Chiefs are +113 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Ravens vs Chiefs?

Watch Lamar Jackson (QB) for the Ravens and Patrick Mahomes (QB) for the Chiefs.

Is Ravens vs Chiefs a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC North vs AFC West), not a division rivalry.