New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers

Head to head

Super Bowl odds0.9%3.2%
Power rating7689
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers is an all-NFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model makes Green Bay Packers a heavy favorite (83% to win, spread GB -5). The power-ranking gap backs it up (#27 vs #8), and the contender tiers agree.

Tactically, New Orleans Saints will want to lean on polished WR to attack Green Bay Packers, whose edge depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Green Bay Packers's balanced attack could punish New Orleans Saints if cap crunch goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Kellen Moore and Matt LaFleur, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on Chris Olave (WR) and Jordan Love (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Saints at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

NO Saints

AKAlvin Kamara
Alvin Kamara
RB · Pro Bowl
COChris Olave
Chris Olave
WR · Smooth route-runner
CJCameron Jordan
Cameron Jordan
EDGE · Veteran

GB Packers

JLJordan Love
Jordan Love
QB · Gunslinger
JJJosh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs
RB · Pro Bowl
XMXavier McKinney
Xavier McKinney
S · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers?

Our model favors the Green Bay Packers, with a 83% win probability over the New Orleans Saints (17%). The projected spread is GB -5.

What is the prediction for Saints vs Packers?

Our model favors Green Bay Packers (83%) over New Orleans Saints (17%), spread GB -5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for New Orleans Saints vs Green Bay Packers?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the New Orleans Saints are +488 and the Green Bay Packers are -488 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Saints vs Packers?

Watch Alvin Kamara (RB) for the Saints and Jordan Love (QB) for the Packers.

Is Saints vs Packers a divisional game?

No. It is an NFC inter-divisional game (NFC South vs NFC North), not a division rivalry.