Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%4.1%
Power rating8280
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots is an all-AFC matchup with seeding on the line. Our model leans Pittsburgh Steelers's way (69% to 31%, PIT -2.5), but New England Patriots are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Pittsburgh Steelers will want to lean on elite pass rush to attack New England Patriots, whose offensive line is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, New England Patriots's promising young QB could punish Pittsburgh Steelers if qB questions goes unaddressed. Whoever wins that exchange likely wins the game.

Keep an eye on DK Metcalf (WR) and Drake Maye (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Steelers at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

PIT Steelers

TWT.J. Watt
T.J. Watt
EDGE · DPOY
DMDK Metcalf
DK Metcalf
WR · Deep threat
CHCam Heyward
Cam Heyward
DT · All-Pro

NE Patriots

DMDrake Maye
Drake Maye
QB · Franchise hope
RSRhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB · Workhorse
CGChristian Gonzalez
Christian Gonzalez
CB · All-Pro

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots?

Our model favors the Pittsburgh Steelers, with a 69% win probability over the New England Patriots (31%). The projected spread is PIT -2.5.

What is the prediction for Steelers vs Patriots?

Our model favors Pittsburgh Steelers (69%) over New England Patriots (31%), spread PIT -2.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Pittsburgh Steelers are -223 and the New England Patriots are +223 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Steelers vs Patriots?

Watch T.J. Watt (EDGE) for the Steelers and Drake Maye (QB) for the Patriots.

Is Steelers vs Patriots a divisional game?

No. It is an AFC inter-divisional game (AFC North vs AFC East), not a division rivalry.