Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Head to head
Preview
How it plays out
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars is a AFC South rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Houston Texans at 85% to Jacksonville Jaguars's 15%, spread HOU -5.5. The power-ranking gap backs it up (#10 vs #24), and the contender tiers agree.
Tactically, Houston Texans will want to lean on young core to attack Jacksonville Jaguars, whose run defense is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Jacksonville Jaguars's big-armed QB could punish Houston Texans if run game goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, DeMeco Ryans and Liam Coen, to script around exactly that battle.
Keep an eye on C.J. Stroud (QB) and Trevor Lawrence (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Texans get the home crowd, worth a few points of swing before kickoff.
Key players
Texans
Jaguars
Frequently asked
Who is favored in Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Our model favors the Houston Texans, with a 85% win probability over the Jacksonville Jaguars (15%). The projected spread is HOU -5.5.
What is the prediction for Texans vs Jaguars?
Our model favors Houston Texans (85%) over Jacksonville Jaguars (15%), spread HOU -5.5: a clear mismatch on paper.
What are the moneyline odds for Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars?
Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Houston Texans are -567 and the Jacksonville Jaguars are +567 on the moneyline.
Who are the key players to watch in Texans vs Jaguars?
Watch C.J. Stroud (QB) for the Texans and Trevor Lawrence (QB) for the Jaguars.
Is Texans vs Jaguars a divisional game?
Yes. Both the Texans and Jaguars play in the AFC South, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.