Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%3.2%
Power rating8681
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears is a NFC North rivalry game, the kind where the records can go out the window. On paper this is about as lopsided as it gets: Minnesota Vikings at 75% to Chicago Bears's 25%, spread MIN -3.5.

Tactically, Minnesota Vikings will want to lean on creative offense to attack Chicago Bears, whose young QB reps is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Chicago Bears's solid front seven could punish Minnesota Vikings if run game goes unaddressed. Expect both staffs, Kevin O'Connell and Ben Johnson, to script around exactly that battle.

Keep an eye on J.J. McCarthy (QB) and Caleb Williams (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. With Vikings at home, the model already bakes in roughly a field-goal's worth of home-field edge.

Key players

MIN Vikings

JJJustin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson
WR · OPOY
JMJ.J. McCarthy
J.J. McCarthy
QB · First-rounder
JGJonathan Greenard
Jonathan Greenard
EDGE · Pro Bowl

CHI Bears

CWCaleb Williams
Caleb Williams
QB · No. 1 pick
DMD.J. Moore
D.J. Moore
WR · Reliable
MSMontez Sweat
Montez Sweat
EDGE · Pro Bowl

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears?

Our model favors the Minnesota Vikings, with a 75% win probability over the Chicago Bears (25%). The projected spread is MIN -3.5.

What is the prediction for Vikings vs Bears?

Our model favors Minnesota Vikings (75%) over Chicago Bears (25%), spread MIN -3.5: a clear mismatch on paper.

What are the moneyline odds for Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Minnesota Vikings are -300 and the Chicago Bears are +300 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Vikings vs Bears?

Watch Justin Jefferson (WR) for the Vikings and Caleb Williams (QB) for the Bears.

Is Vikings vs Bears a divisional game?

Yes. Both the Vikings and Bears play in the NFC North, so this is a division matchup with playoff-seeding and tiebreaker stakes.