Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills

Head to head

Super Bowl odds1.4%5.9%
Power rating8693
Contender tier

Preview

How it plays out

Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills is an inter-conference matchup: the NFC Vikings hosting the AFC Bills. Our model leans Buffalo Bills's way (68% to 32%, BUF -2.5), but Minnesota Vikings are live enough to make it interesting.

Tactically, Minnesota Vikings will want to lean on creative offense to attack Buffalo Bills, whose secondary depth is the obvious pressure point. Going the other way, Buffalo Bills's aggressive front could punish Minnesota Vikings if run game goes unaddressed. It is the kind of trade-off decided in the margins: third down, the trenches, and the turnover battle.

Keep an eye on J.J. McCarthy (QB) and Josh Allen (QB): the two most likely to decide it with a single play. Home field tilts the margin toward Vikings, and in a game this close that edge matters.

Key players

MIN Vikings

JJJustin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson
WR · OPOY
JMJ.J. McCarthy
J.J. McCarthy
QB · First-rounder
JGJonathan Greenard
Jonathan Greenard
EDGE · Pro Bowl

BUF Bills

JAJosh Allen
Josh Allen
QB · MVP
JCJames Cook
James Cook
RB · Pro Bowl
KSKhalil Shakir
Khalil Shakir
WR · Slot

Frequently asked

Who is favored in Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills?

Our model favors the Buffalo Bills, with a 68% win probability over the Minnesota Vikings (32%). The projected spread is BUF -2.5.

What is the prediction for Vikings vs Bills?

Our model favors Buffalo Bills (68%) over Minnesota Vikings (32%), spread BUF -2.5: a lean rather than a lock.

What are the moneyline odds for Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills?

Implied from our model's win probabilities, the Minnesota Vikings are +212 and the Buffalo Bills are -213 on the moneyline.

Who are the key players to watch in Vikings vs Bills?

Watch Justin Jefferson (WR) for the Vikings and Josh Allen (QB) for the Bills.

Is Vikings vs Bills a divisional game?

No. It is an inter-conference matchup between the NFC Vikings and the AFC Bills.